Difference between revisions of "Complexity Coping List"
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We want simple solutions vs. enablement frameworks - Michael Pollen - eat food, not too much, mostly plants | We want simple solutions vs. enablement frameworks - Michael Pollen - eat food, not too much, mostly plants | ||
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| + | Heuristics <br> - requires little time, little effort and doesn't require attention | ||
| + | * availability, | ||
| + | * representativeness, | ||
| + | * anchoring and adjustment | ||
| + | * RESULT: Oversimplfy Causation Attribution (OSA), Predictions, Strategy, Solution Impact, | ||
| + | |||
| + | Cognitive Bias <br> - rather than using 1st Principle Thinking, we use these short cuts to reduce time, effort and attention. We fit things nicely into our existing narratives. | ||
| + | * Hundreds of biases. We fit | ||
| + | * RESULT: Simple Explanation of Complex Systems (SEOCS) or Simple Models of Complex Systems (SMOCS), Simple Predictions, Simple Strategies, Simple Solution Impact | ||
| + | |||
| + | Avoid Cognitive Dissonance <br> - we don't like waking up at 3am when our subconsience is demanding attention to it's struggle with cognitive dissonces | ||
| + | * RESULT: Mentally Soothing Explanation of Complex Systems (MSECS), Predictions, Strategies, Impact Results | ||
| + | |||
| + | In their paper “Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases” (1974)2, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky identified three different kinds of heuristics: availability, representativeness, and anchoring and adjustment | ||
Revision as of 11:55, 4 April 2021
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These are the mentally comforting, psychologically soothing ways to be comfortable with complexity
- Simple Explanations of Complexity
- Simple Solution for a Complex Challenges
- Tax Cuts
- Medicare for All
We want simple solutions vs. enablement frameworks - Michael Pollen - eat food, not too much, mostly plants
Heuristics
- requires little time, little effort and doesn't require attention
- availability,
- representativeness,
- anchoring and adjustment
- RESULT: Oversimplfy Causation Attribution (OSA), Predictions, Strategy, Solution Impact,
Cognitive Bias
- rather than using 1st Principle Thinking, we use these short cuts to reduce time, effort and attention. We fit things nicely into our existing narratives.
- Hundreds of biases. We fit
- RESULT: Simple Explanation of Complex Systems (SEOCS) or Simple Models of Complex Systems (SMOCS), Simple Predictions, Simple Strategies, Simple Solution Impact
Avoid Cognitive Dissonance
- we don't like waking up at 3am when our subconsience is demanding attention to it's struggle with cognitive dissonces
- RESULT: Mentally Soothing Explanation of Complex Systems (MSECS), Predictions, Strategies, Impact Results
In their paper “Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases” (1974)2, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky identified three different kinds of heuristics: availability, representativeness, and anchoring and adjustment
