Why AI Forecasts Will Be Wrong

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Predict impact:

  • Automation of work not done today - cost too much, didn't
  • Products/Services
    • new - products/services - that don't exist today
    • better - products/services - higher utility
    • lower costs
    • easier - to use or access
  • Consumer Demand
    • Jared Diamond - top 10% consuming 27 times the botton 10%
  • Workforces
    • Immigration,
    • globalization
    • automation - digital vs. human
  • Better strategies
    • businesses,
    • organizations,
    • institutions,
    • individuals
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