Strategy

The strategy is the top-level approach to achieve the mission by addressing the impacting elements and providing focus on the essential activities within the enablement process. The strategy evolves based on what is learned about the impacting elements and iteration creation. It adapts to change and the uncertainty from complexity. It consists of continuous improvement of three components:

• Objectives - are the approaches that will demonstrate progess towards achieving the mission and in addressing the impacting elements
• Solutions - are what must be created to achieve the mission, deliver on the objectives and to address the impacting elements
• Measures - are the measurements of progress toward the mission and to evaluate the effectiveness of the objectives and solutions.

Strategy Development is a layered approach of predictions to ensure alignment of the strategy.
1. Current State Prediction Layer

• impact prediction of how the impacting elements will impact the complex system.
• status prediction of what is the current status of the impacting elements,
• causation prediction of why the impacting elements have their current status

2. Future State Predictions Layer

• likely scenario prediction of the future status of the impacting elements
• scenario timing prediction of the timing of the changes to the impacting elements

3. Strategy Forecast Layer

• approach forecast of the approaches that will successfully address the impacting elements
• change forecast of the changes to the current and future states as a result of the strategy approaches
• timing forecast the timing of the progress of achiveing the mission and the changes to the current and future states as a result of the strategy

4. Adjustment Prediction Layer

• adjustment impact prediction of the impact of potential adjustments to the impacting elements, strategy and predictions (current state, future state and strategy forecast predictions) to help decide which adjustments to implement.
• adjustment cost prediction of the cost and timing of the potential adjustement

This is step 4 of the Enablement Process and Iteration Generator.