Difference between revisions of "Complexity Coping List"
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These are the mentally comforting, psychologically soothing ways to be comfortable with complexity <br> | These are the mentally comforting, psychologically soothing ways to be comfortable with complexity <br> | ||
* Simple Explanations of Complexity | * Simple Explanations of Complexity | ||
| − | |||
** Tax Cuts | ** Tax Cuts | ||
** Medicare for All | ** Medicare for All | ||
| − | + | '''Simple Solutions for a Complex Challenges''' <br> | |
We want simple solutions vs. enablement frameworks - Michael Pollen - eat food, not too much, mostly plants | We want simple solutions vs. enablement frameworks - Michael Pollen - eat food, not too much, mostly plants | ||
| − | Heuristics <br> - requires little time, little effort and doesn't require attention | + | '''Heuristics''' <br> - requires little time, little effort and doesn't require attention |
* availability, | * availability, | ||
* representativeness, | * representativeness, | ||
| Line 17: | Line 16: | ||
* RESULT: '''Oversimplfy''' Causation Attribution (OSA), Predictions, Strategy, Solution Impact, | * RESULT: '''Oversimplfy''' Causation Attribution (OSA), Predictions, Strategy, Solution Impact, | ||
| − | Cognitive Bias <br> - rather than using 1st Principle Thinking, we use these short cuts to reduce time, effort and attention. We fit things nicely into our existing narratives. | + | '''Cognitive Bias''' <br> - rather than using 1st Principle Thinking, we use these short cuts to reduce time, effort and attention. We fit things nicely into our existing narratives. |
* Hundreds of biases. We fit | * Hundreds of biases. We fit | ||
* RESULT: '''Simple Explanation''' of Complex Systems (SEOCS) or Simple Models of Complex Systems (SMOCS), Simple Predictions, Simple Strategies, Simple Solution Impact | * RESULT: '''Simple Explanation''' of Complex Systems (SEOCS) or Simple Models of Complex Systems (SMOCS), Simple Predictions, Simple Strategies, Simple Solution Impact | ||
| − | + | '''Cognitive Dissonance Avoidance'''<br> - we don't like waking up at 3am when our subconsience is demanding attention to it's struggle with cognitive dissonces | |
* RESULT: '''Mentally Soothing Explanation''' of Complex Systems (MSECS), Predictions, Strategies, Impact Results | * RESULT: '''Mentally Soothing Explanation''' of Complex Systems (MSECS), Predictions, Strategies, Impact Results | ||
In their paper “Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases” (1974)2, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky identified three different kinds of heuristics: availability, representativeness, and anchoring and adjustment | In their paper “Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases” (1974)2, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky identified three different kinds of heuristics: availability, representativeness, and anchoring and adjustment | ||
Revision as of 12:25, 1 May 2021
Return to GC Chapters
Psychologically Soothing Explanations
These are the mentally comforting, psychologically soothing ways to be comfortable with complexity
- Simple Explanations of Complexity
- Tax Cuts
- Medicare for All
Simple Solutions for a Complex Challenges
We want simple solutions vs. enablement frameworks - Michael Pollen - eat food, not too much, mostly plants
Heuristics
- requires little time, little effort and doesn't require attention
- availability,
- representativeness,
- anchoring and adjustment
- RESULT: Oversimplfy Causation Attribution (OSA), Predictions, Strategy, Solution Impact,
Cognitive Bias
- rather than using 1st Principle Thinking, we use these short cuts to reduce time, effort and attention. We fit things nicely into our existing narratives.
- Hundreds of biases. We fit
- RESULT: Simple Explanation of Complex Systems (SEOCS) or Simple Models of Complex Systems (SMOCS), Simple Predictions, Simple Strategies, Simple Solution Impact
Cognitive Dissonance Avoidance
- we don't like waking up at 3am when our subconsience is demanding attention to it's struggle with cognitive dissonces
- RESULT: Mentally Soothing Explanation of Complex Systems (MSECS), Predictions, Strategies, Impact Results
In their paper “Judgment Under Uncertainty: Heuristics and Biases” (1974)2, Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky identified three different kinds of heuristics: availability, representativeness, and anchoring and adjustment
